Fantasy baseball drafts are about more than just player value as the value relative to their position plays an important role too. If you know that there’s a significant dropoff in value at 1B after Anthony Rizzo goes off the board then you might make more of an effort to draft him if you’re still in need of a 1B instead of drafting a pitcher at that point. To help identify those tiers and where there is a drop-off in value, I provide this printable cheatsheet that breaks down the players at each position by Average Draft Position (ADP) but breaking those groups of players into tiers based on where there is a projected drop in value.
To determine where those tiers begin and end, I calculate the WERTH roto values for each player based on projections for them. I take those values and determine the average value available for each position in the various rounds of a draft. By doing so, we start to see noticeable drops in value at various points. In the chart below, you can see the average values at each position in the various draft rounds (of a 12 team draft). This is what I used as a guideline for basing my tiers off of.
At some positions, the drop in production is more harsh than others. I tried to make this apparent by putting each tier in a color corresponding with the projected value of that tier. With all of that in mind, I present to you the 2013 version of the positional tiers cheatsheet:
2013 ADP Positional Tiers
Each tier has the players sorted by their projected ADP and their projected roto value in parentheses next to their name. It should be noted that just because Ian Desmond has an ADP that puts him in one tier does not necessarily mean that he is more valuable than Josh Rutledge in another tier. So, I recommend using this sheet as a guide for how to attack your draft but still do your research on who you would want to target within each of these tiers.
Hit me up in the comments if you have thoughts or suggestions for this printable sheet.
Edward Lada
03/17/2013 at 9:56 AMWhere is the second page on the ADP Tier sheet? Or is there none?
Mike Hobbs
03/25/2013 at 11:57 PMLove the site and the customizable excel sheet. I have one suggestion. The Tiered PDF is wonderful, but when you print it on a single piece of paper, the type becomes very small and the picture takes up a small portion of a standard 8.5×11 piece of paper.
Would be really helpful if the tiered ranking sheet went further to all margins so when printed it was easier to read.
Luke
03/26/2013 at 3:47 PMGood idea, Mike. I made some changes to the sheet that stretched it out a bit more so the font wouldn't be so small for some of the guys.
Check it out and let me know if this works better.
Also, Edward, I like your idea of having a second page that covers some later rounds too. I'll see what I can do.
Mike Hobbs
03/26/2013 at 5:34 PMWow fast response THANKS! Still might be able to reduce the Top/Bottom Margins to get more space for the sheet, but its a definate improvement. Reprinted it and the text is bigger already. Thanks Sir.