The name isn't an accident; I am blending together existing projections each year in a special way. Once we got to a point in baseball history where multiple people were producing high-quality baseball projection models each year, the obvious
Baseball Projections
Your decisions on fantasy baseball draft day are only as good as the projections that you use. To paraphrase an old saying, if you use garbage data then you'll get garbage results. So, obviously, we want to use the
My research found that each projection system had certain stats that it was better at projecting than others. I started taking the best projections for each stat and doing weighted averages based on which projections were best at projecting
The idea of my projections is that I assign a certain weight to the various projection systems and those weights vary for each statistic. From there, I create individual aggregations for each statistic across the board...
When deciding on which projections to use for fantasy baseball, an aggregated approach may be most helpful. Here are my latest aggregated projections for 2021.
My Special Blend projections take data from a variety of free projection sources on the market and also use xStats and stats from previous years. For years, I have been running linear regression analysis with all of these sources
I've been running my own analysis of baseball projections since 2012. It's been an educational process to better learn what works and what doesn't work, and I consistently share my results with you each year to help educate you
In a recent article, I analyzed the accuracy of various projection sources for fantasy purposes. I had found that my Special Blend of projections fared the best in 2018. But, as I typically do, I still got to work