If you were sad that I didn't publish my sleeper pitcher picks in 2020, you can smile again because I've run the numbers and have my picks ready for 2021.
Fantasy Draft Strategy
In some years, there are major changes that continue to happen after the initial cheatsheet release in order to improve functionality. This is one of those years and these are those updated sheets.
When you don't want to bother with crazy complicated Excel spreadsheets, you can turn to your old friend in the printable PDF cheatsheets.
The projections likely will not predict a sleeper who surprises everyone but they will give you a good idea of which players are being undervalued, perhaps due to public perception about them.
Because of the fact that inexperienced players are taken earlier in drafts, the assumption may be that they perform better on the whole over the preceding season. That assumption would be wrong.
In points leagues, you have to be aware of everything a hitter can do. Walks, strikeouts, doubles and triples matter in a way that they do not for roto leagues. You even care whether a player gets caught stealing
By combining the xISO data with my analysis of HitTracker data, I can more confidently identify players who should see an increase in power numbers in 2017.
Once we have a player's xBABIP, we can convert it into their expected batting average (xAVG) by looking at how many balls they hit into play that year and seeing how their AVG would be affected if they had