My fantasy baseball rankings for 2016 were posted last night at FantasyPros. The rankings were constructed using HR data, xAVG trends and looking at my possible sleeper hitters and pitchers.
Though xBABIP and BABIP are funky stats, you can use xAVG and compare it to AVG to find who was lucky or unlucky. Here are ten of the biggest discrepancies between xAVG and AVG from last year.
Weighting various other projection systems for each stat is a vast improvement over simply combining the projections. I find that these Special Blend projections have outperformed most other projections out there yearly.
The winner for best pitcher projections has bounced between Steamer and the Fangraphs Fans before Clay Davenport's projections came out of nowhere last year with some great work. Who won in 2015?
I've done this analysis over the past four years and Steamer has performed the best in three of those years when it comes to projecting hitter stats. Will that continue?
The cheatsheets are interactive Excel spreadsheets that are can be tuned to your personal league settings and preferences. You will be able to use these sheets to see how valuable each player is specifically for your league.
Finding elite pitchers in the early rounds doesn't require much thought but finding top-shelf talent in the middle or late rounds takes a bit more research and skill.
While I get a kick out of doing fantasy baseball research and blog posts, the powerful and adaptive fantasy baseball spreadsheets that I create are the reason this website is called Mr. Cheatsheet in the first place.
Some hitters can have misleading HR numbers which we can weed out thanks to the advanced data we have nowadays courtesy of the wonderful HitTracker website.
Unlike other sleeper lists you may find, this list is not subjective at all. I'm not picking sleepers based on gut feelings nor scouting reports. No, I'm picking sleepers based on a cold, calculated and emotionless formula.