Balancing risk with security is an essential part of every fantasy baseball draft. Finding the best sleepers to enhance your team is where the risk comes into play.
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sleepers
Sometimes I trust my gut but other times I let the projections take the wheel. So, which players do the projections like more than us measly humans in 2017?
By combining the xISO data with my analysis of HitTracker data, I can more confidently identify players who should see an increase in power numbers in 2017.
I'm looking for pitchers who can throw strikes, avoid walks and create strikeouts by making batters miss. This means these pitchers control their games as opposed to relying on their defense on balls put in play.
Dating back to 2007, there were 29 hitters who met my criteria and were also in their team's Opening Day lineup. Of those, 21 (72%) were drafted twice as high the next year and 90% outperformed expectations that season.