By combining the xISO data with my analysis of HitTracker data, I can more confidently identify players who should see an increase in power numbers in 2017.
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Fantasy Sleepers
I'm looking for pitchers who can throw strikes, avoid walks and create strikeouts by making batters miss. This means these pitchers control their games as opposed to relying on their defense on balls put in play.
Dating back to 2007, there were 29 hitters who met my criteria and were also in their team's Opening Day lineup. Of those, 21 (72%) were drafted twice as high the next year and 90% outperformed expectations that season.
There were 46 SP's last year that met this criteria and they averaged 3.55 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 8.8 K/9. The 86 SP's that didn't averaged a 4.16 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7.0 K/9.
Though xBABIP and BABIP are funky stats, you can use xAVG and compare it to AVG to find who was lucky or unlucky. Here are ten of the biggest discrepancies between xAVG and AVG from last year.
Finding elite pitchers in the early rounds doesn't require much thought but finding top-shelf talent in the middle or late rounds takes a bit more research and skill.
Unlike other sleeper lists you may find, this list is not subjective at all. I'm not picking sleepers based on gut feelings nor scouting reports. No, I'm picking sleepers based on a cold, calculated and emotionless formula.
There are a couple of fantasy baseball deep sleepers each year that can make the difference for your team. The following 2012 profile of Jason Bourgeois will analyze the chances that he might be one of the next big