"These projections are not perfect and there will always be hits and misses within them but they give us valuable insight into what the stats are trying to tell us. They are unbiased and unmerciful."
My research found that each projection system had certain stats that it was better at projecting than others. I started taking the best projections for each stat and doing weighted averages based on which projections were best at projecting
Under unusual circumstances in 2022, we come upon the release of my yearly fantasy baseball draft cheatsheets.
The idea of my projections is that I assign a certain weight to the various projection systems and those weights vary for each statistic. From there, I create individual aggregations for each statistic across the board...
In some years, there are major changes that continue to happen after the initial cheatsheet release in order to improve functionality. This is one of those years and these are those updated sheets.
When deciding on which projections to use for fantasy baseball, an aggregated approach may be most helpful. Here are my latest aggregated projections for 2021.
My Special Blend projections take data from a variety of free projection sources on the market and also use xStats and stats from previous years. For years, I have been running linear regression analysis with all of these sources
I've been running my own analysis of baseball projections since 2012. It's been an educational process to better learn what works and what doesn't work, and I consistently share my results with you each year to help educate you