Last year I debuted my fantasy baseball projection system that liberally takes from a variety of expert projection sources. It was essentially a pilot year for the Special Blend projections which went quite well. The idea behind them was to combine the best advanced projection sources out there but weight them properly in each individual statistic based on which projection system performs best in that stat.
The sources that go into this Special Blend are:
Each statistic within the projection weights those projections differently but each of those sources brings something to the table in the final product here. In the debut year, the Special Blend projections provided accurate hitting projections that ranked ahead of all other sources in my analysis. However, in the pitching arena, the projections couldn’t outperform Steamer and the Steamer+Fans projections so improvements needed to be made for 2014. As a result, I made a few tweaks to my formulas and I’m hoping this year’s version of the projections will prove to be even more accurate for fantasy baseball purposes.
Browse through the projections below but I recommend going directly to the Google Doc for a closer look and to download them for your own purposes.
You may notice there that some players are not included in the projections. This will happen if one of the projection sources did not provide a projection for a player which is often the case with rookies or players coming from foreign leagues that will be making their MLB debut this year. All sources involved here must have a projection for a player in order for this special blending to work.