"These projections are not perfect and there will always be hits and misses within them but they give us valuable insight into what the stats are trying to tell us. They are unbiased and unmerciful."
It took years of diving deep into the numbers but I eventually found my own set of benchmarks that let me identify the undervalued starting pitchers for the upcoming season.
Well well well, if it isn't my yearly post on which starting pitchers to target and which you may want to avoid in your fantasy baseball drafts.
I've been running my own analysis of baseball projections since 2012. It's been an educational process to better learn what works and what doesn't work, and I consistently share my results with you each year to help educate you
Winning your fantasy drafts isn't just about finding super sleepers though. It's also about just finding good value players to fill your team with.
Many of us put a lot of blind faith into choosing a baseball projection system to help us win our fantasy leagues. That's why I try to analyze the accuracy of the various projection systems each year to see
My method for unearthing sleeper pitchers is slightly out of the box but, according to the FantasyPros, I have ended up ranking as the #1 fantasy expert when it comes to ranking starting pitchers over 2016 and 2017.
Those that met the criteria averaged a 3.76 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 over the 2017 season. Those that didn't meet the criteria averaged a 4.52 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9 meanwhile. I prefer the numbers from